Zomato shapes India’s food delivery and dining out experience with its pioneering technology platform. Since its launch in 2008, the company has become a dominant force in the rapidly evolving online food ordering and restaurant discovery space. After a blockbuster IPO in 2021 that valued Zomato at USD 8.7 billion, investors closely track its share price movements to gauge the financial health and growth prospects of this leading foodtech disruptor.
Zomato’s share price trends provide valuable signals on investor confidence, market leadership, competitive agility, and future growth outlook. For shareholders, analyzing Zomato’s stock performance is crucial to make informed investment decisions and assess its ability to retain market dominance. Monitoring key share price targets in 2023 and beyond offers insights into the company’s expansion strategy across India and internationally.
Zomato Company Overview
Historical Evolution
Zomato was founded in 2008 by Deepinder Goyal and Pankaj Chaddah as ‘Foodiebay’, a restaurant information and review platform. In 2010, it expanded into online food delivery with the launch of Zomato. Over the years, Zomato acquired other foodtech players like Urbanspoon, Cibando, and Runnr to bolster its market position.
Key milestones:
- 2010: Rebranded from Foodiebay to Zomato
- 2012: Launched table reservations and partnered with over 11,000 restaurants
- 2014: Expanded internationally across Middle East, Europe, Asia Pacific
- 2021: IPO at INR 76 per share, valuing it at USD 8.7 billion
- 2022: 40 million transacting customers globally per month
Key Financial Indicators
As of first half 2022 results:
- Revenue from operations stood at INR 1757.7 crores, a growth of 67% YoY
- Adjusted EBITDA at negative INR 204 crores
- Gross order value grew by 9% QoQ to INR 63,283 million
- Cash balance reserves at USD 1.6 billion
Recent Developments
Recent strategic developments that strengthen Zomato’s market standing:
- Sep 2022: Investment in logistics startup Shiprocket to improve last-mile delivery
- Jul 2022: Acquired quick-commerce company Blinkit for USD 568 million
- May 2022: 10-minute food delivery pilot Zomato Instant launched in select areas
- Mar 2022: Inter-city food delivery program announced starting with Delhi-NCR
Role in Food-Tech and Delivery
Core Business Model Overview
Zomato operates on a hyperlocal discovery and delivery model. Key aspects include:
- Discovery: Providing restaurant information, menus, reviews for over 1.8 million restaurants across 24 countries
- Food Delivery: Online ordering, partnered with over 350,000 delivery partners servicing 650+ cities in India
- Hyperlocal: Focus on connecting customers to neighborhood restaurants and stores for quick delivery
- Table Reservations: Online and instant table booking at restaurants through Zomato’s Book module
Analysis of Market Trends
Key foodtech industry trends Zomato is positioned to benefit from:
- Rising online food delivery adoption in India, set to reach 21.6% CAGR till 2027
- Quick commerce gaining traction with focus on 10-15 minute delivery
- Increased demand for regional and hyperlocal cuisines
- Growing adoption of technology by restaurants for reservations and takeaway
- Expanding tier-2 and tier-3 cities present further growth opportunities
Zomato Share Price Analysis
Current Share Price Dynamics
Zomato is currently trading around Rs 125 (as of Jan 2024), nearly 20% below its IPO issue price of Rs 76 in July 2021.
Key factors influencing current price:
- Net loss widening to Rs 359 crs in Q2 FY23 due to Blinkit acquisition
- Concerns over increased competition from Swiggy and new entrants
- Adverse market conditions with tech valuations correcting globally
- Continued high fuel and wage costs impacting food delivery segment
Determinants of Share Price Movements
Key factors impacting Zomato’s share price trends:
- Financial performance – Revenue growth, profitability, cash burn rate
- User growth and engagement metrics
- Success of new initiatives like quick commerce and inter-city delivery
- Market share shifts due to competition
- Regulatory changes governing foodtech segment
- Macroeconomic factors and overall capital market movements
- Investor perception and confidence in the company’s management
Shareholding Structure of Zomato
Shareholder Breakdown
Top shareholders of Zomato (as of Sep 2023 quarterly results):
- Info Edge India: 18.55% stake
- Delivery Hero – SE: 16.53%
- Tiger Global Management: 14.98%
- Kora Holdings: 5.45%
- Fidelity Management: 4.65%
- Baillie Gifford: 3.66%
Founders Deepinder Goyal and Pankaj Chaddah hold 5.5% and 3.65% respectively.
Influence on Stock Performance
Concentrated holding by few large investors gives them significant influence over Zomato’s strategic decisions to drive growth and profitability. Execution of these growth levers by the management/founders and their vision aligning with investors’ interests is key to building higher investor confidence.
Factors like continued stakeholding intent by major investors, founder-led management, and voting power distribution impact overall stock performance and valuation multiples assigned by the market.
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Annual Results and Financial Performance
In-Depth Analysis of Recent Annual Results
For FY22 ending Mar 2022, Zomato reported:
- Revenue from operations at Rs 5,413 crs, up 105% YoY
- Adjusted EBITDA loss widened to Rs 1,524 crs from Rs 482 crs in FY21
- Gross order value grew to Rs 24,547 crs, up 77% YoY
- Monthly transacting customers 45.4 million, growth of 39% YoY
- Average revenue per user per month up to Rs 138 versus Rs 115 in FY21
- Net loss stood at Rs 1,222 crs reflecting investments in growth
Evaluation of Financial Health and Stability
- Robust top line growth reflecting market share gains
- Focus on long-term growth evident from increasing spend and losses
- Strong cash reserves provide adequate capital for expansion plans
- Unit economics continue to be negative due to high customer acquisition costs
- Path to profitability remains a concern until scale efficiencies improve
Overall, Zomato exhibits indicators of a high-growth startup prioritizing growth over profitability currently. Its financial position remains stable.
zomato share price target
Year | Share Price Target |
---|---|
2023 | Rs 80 – 90 |
2024 | Rs 100 – 110 |
2025 | Rs 110 – 130 |
2026 | Rs 140 – 160 |
2027 | Rs 160 – 180 |
2030 | Rs 190 – 230 |
2035 | Rs 300 – 350 |
2040 | Rs 550 – 700 |
2050 | Rs 1200 – 1500 |
Zomato Share Price Target 2023
For 2023, Zomato’s share price is expected to be in the range of Rs 80-90, indicating an upside of 20% to 40% from current levels.
Key drivers for stock performance in 2023:
- Revenue growth momentum to continue given robust food delivery demand
- Operating metrics like GOV, MTU, ARPDAU to improve with scale
- Quick commerce initiatives to bolster growth and order frequency
- Moderating competitive intensity to support growth
- Path to profitability to become clearer by year end
However, high inflation and rising interest rates may limit significant near term upside. Execution of the Blinkit acquisition also needs monitoring.
Zomato Share Price Target 2024
Zomato’s share price for 2024 is estimated at Rs 100-110, reflecting a 30% to 50% upside from 2023-end levels.
Growth Factors:
- Revenue growth to remain strong at 50-60% in 2024
- Scale benefits to drive improvement in unit economics
- Quick commerce and new offerings to crystallize as key growth levers
- Extending lead over competition as market consolidates further
- Reduction in Adjusted EBITDA losses on operational efficiency
Macroeconomic factors and fundraising environment for tech startups will need monitoring though.
Zomato Share Price Target 2025
For 2025, Zomato share price target is projected at Rs 110-130 indicating a 70% to 100% upside over current levels.
Key Growth Drivers:
- Growth momentum sustained with large TAM and low penetration
- Advertising and enterprise offerings to gain strong traction
- Adjusted EBITDA losses narrowing progressively indicating path to profitability by 2025-end
- New business segments like quick commerce contributing significantly
- Market leadership bolstered by technology and innovation edge
Possibility of a new competitor emerging in the space may limit potential upside.
Zomato Share Price Target 2026
Zomato’s expected share price target for 2026 is Rs 140-160, reflecting 120% to 150% upside over present value.
Key Factors:
- Growth in core food delivery business stabilizing but still strong at 30-40%
- Profitability timelines advance further with high operating leverage
- Quick commerce and inter-city delivery drive incremental growth
- New product offerings gaining adoption leveraging strong brand equity
- International expansion picking up pace by 2026
Macro headwinds limiting discretionary spending emerge as risks to target price range.
Zomato Share Price Target 2027
For 2027, Zomato share price is estimated to reach Rs 160-180, indicating an upside of 150% to 180% from current price.
Drivers:
- Core food delivery segment profitable on stand-alone basis
- Market leadership sustained with over 50% category share
- Quick commerce and new verticals start contributing significantly to topline
- Operating leverage advantages become more evident
- Strong cash reserves support investment for growth
Aggressive expansion from Swiggy or new entrants may pose risks.
Zomato Share Price Target 2030
By 2030, Zomato’s share price valuation is forecasted between Rs 190-230, reflecting an upside of 200% to 260%.
Rationale:
- Food delivery business continues growing with long runway ahead
- Category shifts online significantly increasing penetration
- Advertising and enterprise business big growth opportunities
- International expansion accelerates in key markets
- New initiatives maturing to boost top line and profitability
- Operating leverage benefits amplified with scale
Need to ward off competition in newer segments may limit extreme upside scenarios.
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Zomato Share Price Target 2035
For 2035, Zomato share price is estimated to be valued around Rs 300-350, a 370% to 450% growth from current price.
Key Drivers:
- Market leadership sustained across all key business segments
- Significant operating leverage achieved given high scale
- International segment contributes over 25% of revenues
- New initiatives and segments continue to drive incremental growth
- Broad ecosystem with strong network effects built around core platform
- Strong cash flow generation on profitability
- Technological edge maintained via continued innovation
Aggressive M&A activity though may be required to limit competitive pressures.
Zomato Share Price Target 2040
By 2040, Zomato share price is forecasted to appreciate to Rs 550-700 levels, indicating massive 760% to 990% upside over 10+ years.
Growth Factors:
- Food delivery and dining out become predominantly online categories
- Strong brand with network effects across customer ecosystem
- Global category leadership with presence across 50+ countries
- Ad-tech and enterprise offerings commanding significant market share
- Successful monetization of entire customer journey
- New innovations emerging in foodtech space on back of industry leadership
- Strong cash flows deployed for growth initiatives
Ability to ward off emerging competitive threats will be key monitorable.
Zomato Share Price Target 2050
For 2050, Zomato share price is estimated to reach Rs 1200-1500, delivering outsized 18x to 23x returns over 30 years.
Key Drivers:
- Global category leader in dining/foodtech space
- Majority revenues from international markets
- Leader across key segments – delivery, discovery, cloud, ads
- Strong network effects and branding across customer touchpoints
- Continued technological innovation and R&D investments
- New growth frontiers identified and tapped leveraging market leadership
- Consistently high ROE, ROCE over the years
Maintaining growth and avoiding complacency over long term tenure would be critical to achieve price targets.
Comparative Analysis with Competitors’ Projections
Zomato’s long-term upside potential is greater than competitors:
- Swiggy: Projected to grow at 1.5x times over next 5 years
- Foodpanda: Less upside projected at 1.3x in next 5 years
- Uber Eats: Sold India operations to Zomato in Jan 2020
Zomato is better positioned than peers to gain higher market share in the long run.
Future Outlook for Zomato Share
Expert Opinions and Market Sentiments
Industry experts project Zomato’s leadership position in food delivery will sustain despite rising competition. The shift to quick commerce and leveraging data analytics better are seen as key strengths.
Market sentiment also remains positive for Zomato based on its strong brand equity and continued increase in customer mindshare. Investor confidence is expected to rise further post integration of Blinkit business.
Catalysts for Growth or Potential Challenges
Growth Catalysts:
- Increasing online food delivery adoption in India
- New initiatives like quick commerce and inter-city delivery
- Entry and expansion into smaller cities and towns
- Innovation in delivery models like drone delivery
Potential Challenges:
- Execution risk of new business initiatives like Blinkit
- Profitability timelines uncertain
- Regulatory changes governing food delivery space
- Cut-throat competition from Swiggy, Amazon Food, and others
Risk Assessment of Zomato Share
Comprehensive Risk Analysis
Key risks analyzed for Zomato share:
Market Risks:
- Volatility in capital markets and negative macroeconomic conditions
- Changes in discretionary spending affecting food delivery
Business Risks:
- Execution failure in new segments like quick commerce
- Rising customer acquisition costs
- Potential market share loss to competitors like Swiggy
Technology Risks:
- Failures in delivery fulfillment platforms or app/website
- Lag in technology adoption compared to rivals
Regulatory Risks:
- Adverse policy or regulatory changes for food delivery sector
- Labor law changes impacting delivery partner ecosystem
Strategies for Risk Mitigation
Mitigation Strategies:
- Diversify into multiple verticals to hedge market risks
- Expand into new locations and customer segments
- Invest in technology leadership and robust systems
- Maintain strong balance sheet and access to capital
- Proactive engagement with regulators and policymakers
Prudent risk mitigation can help address the identified concerns and instill greater confidence in Zomato’s future prospects.
Conclusion
In summary, Zomato exhibits strong growth and upside potential based on its market leadership, robust financial position, long-term growth drivers like quick commerce, and positive industry outlook. Share price set to appreciate significantly as execution challenges get addressed over time. However, competition and regulatory risks need to be managed through diversification and robust technology capabilities.
Zomato operates in a dynamic industry with evolving trends. Continuous monitoring of share price movements and underlying determinants is essential for investors to track Zomato’s strategy effectiveness and respond to changing market sentiments. Timely assessment of new initiatives like Zomato Instant is also critical.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
What will be Zomato share price in 2023?
Is Zomato good for long term?
What is Zomato Share Price Target in 2024?
What is the price target of Zomato?
2025: Rs 110-130
2027: Rs 160-180
2030: Rs 190-230
What is the future of Zomato stock?
Does Zomato make profits currently?
Who are the major investors in Zomato?
References and Citations
- Zomato Investor Presentation, Quarter Ended Sep 2022
- Zomato Annual Report 2021-22
- Zomato IPO Prospectus, July 2021
- MoneyControl Article: Decoding Zomato’s shareholding pattern, 2 September 2022
- Economic Times Article: Zomato announces investment in Shiprocket, 26 September 2022
- Business Standard Article: Zomato to expand inter-city food delivery service to 500 cities, 11 August 2022
- Mint Article: Zomato’s loss widens to ₹359 cr in Q2FY23 post Blinkit acquisition, 8 November 2022
- IBEF Report: Indian Food Services Market, December 2022
- Redseer Report: Food Delivery Market, October 2022
- JM Financial Zomato Stock Recommendation Report, January 2023
Disclaimer: This article is informational only, not investment advice. Price targets are algorithm-generated estimates that may change due to market fluctuations. Do not solely rely on targets when investing. Perform due diligence before investing. Author not liable for losses from utilizing these projections.